Instability of Ice Mass Balance and Climate Change Induced Sea Level Rise- An Appraisal
Keywords:
ARMAX model, ARX model, frequency response functions, optimal orders, modal identificationAbstract
It is found from the literature on changes in climate and the resultant rise in sea level, that the scenarios, which are presumed for estimating the rise in Sea Level are stranded on a lot of doubts. Projections by different team of scientists and real time data from IPCC’s predictions do not match and mostly differ. Various models so far considered are grounded on mathematical and statistical methods are anticipated to experience unforeseen variation due to the present unpredictable behaviour of the ice sheets. Studies about the contribution from Antarctica itself towards rise in Sea Level predicts abrupt variations in different projections and accordingly the importance of detailed study on Marine Ice Instability has been highlighted in this paper. The phenomenon related to MISI and MICI has been stressed upon to arrive at more correct projections on Sea Level Rise in coming decades and centuries.
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